User:Jmayberry

From ChanceWiki
Jump to: navigation, search

A Penchant for Perfection

An amateur golfer from Stockton, California recently made local headlines [1] by sinking his 16th career hole-in-one at a tournament in Reno. Rod Souza Sr., a 60-year old retired Fire Department Captain attributes his success to two things: "frequency of play and luck". According to Golf Digest, the odds of an amateur golfer hitting a hole-in-one on a given hole are 1 in 12,750.

Discussion Questions:

1) In the article, Mr. Souza tells reporters that he has been playing golf for over 40 years, averaging 3-4 rounds per week during this time. Suppose that he averages 3.5 rounds per week and that a round consists of 18 holes. If Mr. Souza was relying on "luck" alone, how many hole-in-ones should he expect to have after 40 years of playing golf?

2) What is the probability that Mr. Souza would have made 16 or more hole-in-ones if he was relying on chance alone?

3) Based on your calculation in question 2, do you think Mr. Souza has shown an unusually high "penchant for perfection"?

Personal tools
Namespaces
Variants
Actions
Navigation
Toolbox